Coronavirus deaths statistics give key insights for Iraq


Since not everyone can be tested, the number of COVID-19 virus infections per country is becoming an increasingly poor measure of the spread of the corona virus. However, coronavirus deaths are almost always recorded in national statistics and provide important insights into how effectively the government of Iraq fights the COVID-19 virus. That is why we show the number of deaths from corona per million inhabitants and calculate how much days Iraq is behind the Chinese province Hubei (where it all started)

You can use the scroll wheel of your mouse to zoom in on the chart. Each hair line represents one of the 97 countries/regions. By checking the checkbox in the table you can highlight that country in the chart. Please click on the question mark to see read more details.

Chart with deaths per million inhabitants versus number of days after 1 death per million inhabitants milestone for 97 countries/regions


In the chart it can be seen that most hair lines follow the same trajectory. The red line for Iraq can be forecasted by looking at the trajectory for nearby hair lines

Table showing the number of days to 10-fold deaths per capita


Country/Region Days behind Hubei population
[millions]
till now /1M capita 0.1 /1M capita
[date]
0.11 /1M capita
[days]
110 /1M capita
[days]
10100 /1M capita
[days]
Iraq60392,16055 7/Mar/202075
Hubei, China0594,5127622/Jan/20510
United States53332128,74038812/Mar/208917
Brazil6521161,88429322/Mar/20101636
United Kingdom506643,99566210/Mar/207813
Italy366034,81857824/Feb/208713
New York, United States491932,0641,64813/Mar/20359
France466729,794444 6/Mar/207913
Mexico7112729,18923128/Mar/20101841
Spain444728,368604 6/Mar/205610
India971,36018,21313 6/Apr/202749
New Jersey, United States548.915,1071,70110/Mar/2011114
Iran378311,10613324/Feb/2091284
Peru653210,04531221/Mar/20111734
Belgium51129,76184711/Mar/207611
Russia771479,6686631/Mar/201323
Germany54839,00610814/Mar/2071155
Canada59378,69923816/Mar/20101225
Massachusetts, United States586.98,1321,17020/Mar/205612
Illinois, United States58136,95154919/Mar/206718
Pennsylvania, United States58136,71252421/Mar/2041016
California, United States57406,26515915/Mar/2091451
Michigan, United States5510.06,21262212/Mar/2010512
Netherlands48176,113350 8/Mar/207714
Chile66175,92034123/Mar/20102245
Quebec, Canada608.45,54166019/Mar/2081014
Sweden52105,41152214/Mar/205819
Turkey60835,1676221/Mar/20613
Ecuador56174,63926614/Mar/2091335
Pakistan862194,5512130/Mar/202348
Connecticut, United States533.64,3261,21318/Mar/2021010
Colombia71463,6507926/Mar/201233
Florida, United States59213,61716817/Mar/2091047
Louisiana, United States514.63,25570014/Mar/204711
Maryland, United States626.03,21253119/Mar/2010718
Egypt721003,1203122/Mar/201754
Indonesia732682,9871120/Mar/202078
Ohio, United States59122,87624620/Mar/2061031
Georgia, United States54112,84926818/Mar/2031029
South Africa86592,84448 3/Apr/201937
Ontario, Canada60142,73719320/Mar/2071028
Indiana, United States566.72,66239516/Mar/2071021
Texas, United States61292,5428818/Mar/201016
Switzerland468.61,965229 5/Mar/208917
Bangladesh951681,92611 7/Apr/202457
Virginia, United States578.51,81621314/Mar/20102227
Arizona, United States607.31,76424221/Mar/2061242
Saudi Arabia70341,7525128/Mar/20945
Ireland564.91,73835311/Mar/2012718
Colorado, United States545.81,70129512/Mar/2091024
Romania59191,6878722/Mar/20412
Portugal54101,58715418/Mar/203835
Minnesota, United States635.61,49526521/Mar/2091130
Poland65381,4923916/Mar/201620
North Carolina, United States64101,40913426/Mar/2051456
Argentina70451,3853124/Mar/201348
Washington, United States377.61,34217629/Feb/2041638
Philippines671081,2741215/Mar/201972
Bolivia71111,27111230/Mar/2083253
Ukraine71421,2002925/Mar/201335
Mississippi, United States583.01,09236719/Mar/2061029
Missouri, United States576.11,04417018/Mar/2061335
Alabama, United States624.998520125/Mar/204942
Japan781269777.811/Mar/2034
Rhode Island, United States611.1959905515
Algeria64439282218/Mar/201327
Guatemala981884348 4/Apr/203032
Afghanistan83328072626/Mar/202448
Wisconsin, United States585.879313619/Mar/2061155
South Carolina, United States585.178415216/Mar/2091557
Dominican Republic60107657419/Mar/20812
Iowa, United States623.271922825/Mar/2041432
Austria558.97057912/Mar/20108
Panama564.266716011/Mar/20121367
Tennessee, United States636.86209120/Mar/20108
Nigeria1152016163.119/Apr/2032
Denmark525.860610414/Mar/205968
Sudan96416021514/Apr/201840
Honduras659.25916526/Mar/20634
Hungary589.85876015/Mar/201018
Kentucky, United States584.558113016/Mar/2091357
Moldova642.756020918/Mar/2013849
District of Columbia, United States550.7554785816
Nevada, United States563.152517016/Mar/207941
Delaware, United States591.0510524623
New Mexico, United States642.150324025/Mar/2061230
Armenia623.045915526/Mar/2033050
Belarus709.54054331/Mar/20626
Oklahoma, United States584.039510019/Mar/20610
New Hampshire, United States791.437527630/Mar/20161521
Kuwait814.435981 4/Apr/201321
Czechia61113533324/Mar/20412
Finland605.53285921/Mar/20616
Israel609.23243521/Mar/20614
North Macedonia582.132115522/Mar/2031272
United Arab Emirates689.83173220/Mar/201525
Cameroon83243131329/Mar/202157

Chart with deaths per million elderly inhabitants age>65 years versus number of days after milestone of 10 deaths per million residents for 97 countries/regions


Some countries have a high percentage of elderly (in our definitions: perons with an age of 65 or higher) and therfore will have a much higher mortality rate for the corona virus. To corect for this effect we have created a chart and a table with the same structue as above, but now only the part of the population with an age above 65 is included.

Table which shows the number of days to tenfold deaths per capita rate for persons with an age > 65 years


Country/Region Days behind Hubei 65+ population
[millions]
till now /1M 65+ capita 1.0 /1M 65+ capita
[date]
1.010 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
10100 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
1001000 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
Iraq531.32,1601,653 4/Mar/20166036
Hubei, China06.14,51274522/Jan/20510
United States5552128,7402,45714/Mar/208924
Brazil641961,8843,28322/Mar/2091634
United Kingdom521243,9953,60014/Mar/205915
Italy381434,8182,54027/Feb/207919
New York, United States503.132,06410,30214/Mar/20369
France491329,7942,218 8/Mar/2081016
Mexico699.129,1893,19227/Mar/2091737
Spain469.128,3683,119 7/Mar/206712
India908418,213217 4/Apr/202246
New Jersey, United States561.415,10710,63015/Mar/20897
Iran345.211,1062,15623/Feb/2071337
Peru642.610,0453,86120/Mar/20111631
Belgium532.29,7614,50811/Mar/209613
Russia80229,668449 1/Apr/201527
Germany58189,00650517/Mar/20812
Canada626.28,6991,39918/Mar/20111340
Massachusetts, United States591.28,1326,88322/Mar/204715
Illinois, United States591.96,9513,65719/Mar/207823
Pennsylvania, United States612.36,7122,91322/Mar/2061022
California, United States585.56,2651,13316/Mar/2091673
Michigan, United States561.76,2123,65918/Mar/205714
Netherlands503.36,1131,82510/Mar/207823
Chile672.05,9202,95525/Mar/2092541
Quebec, Canada601.65,5413,51121/Mar/2061219
Sweden552.15,4112,59815/Mar/2071023
Turkey597.15,16773221/Mar/20512
Ecuador551.24,6393,71514/Mar/2081229
Pakistan779.44,55148226/Mar/201836
Connecticut, United States550.64,3267,13718/Mar/204914
Colombia703.93,65093225/Mar/201230
Florida, United States614.53,61780218/Mar/201015
Louisiana, United States520.73,2554,66814/Mar/205715
Maryland, United States630.93,2123,54219/Mar/2011722
Egypt665.23,12059618/Mar/201538
Indonesia66162,98719018/Mar/201558
Ohio, United States612.02,8761,44720/Mar/2081247
Georgia, United States551.52,8491,91718/Mar/2041141
South Africa793.12,84491031/Mar/201535
Ontario, Canada632.42,7371,14121/Mar/2091254
Indiana, United States571.12,6622,47117/Mar/2071128
Texas, United States633.82,54267419/Mar/201117
Switzerland501.61,9651,229 8/Mar/209931
Bangladesh838.71,926222 5/Apr/201449
Virginia, United States621.41,8161,33016/Mar/20131944
Arizona, United States651.31,7641,34622/Mar/20101564
Saudi Arabia651.11,7521,54525/Mar/2072157
Ireland570.71,7382,54711/Mar/2013720
Colorado, United States580.81,7012,11012/Mar/2013829
Romania613.61,68747423/Mar/20518
Portugal562.31,58770319/Mar/20411
Minnesota, United States660.91,4951,65721/Mar/20121539
Poland676.71,49222222/Mar/201230
North Carolina, United States661.71,40984026/Mar/20715
Argentina715.01,38527724/Mar/201450
Washington, United States391.21,3421,101 2/Mar/2041983
Philippines615.61,27422914/Mar/201432
Bolivia670.81,2711,56329/Mar/2053149
Ukraine746.91,20017428/Mar/201350
Mississippi, United States590.51,0922,29319/Mar/2071138
Missouri, United States611.01,0441,00120/Mar/2081284
Alabama, United States620.89851,18225/Mar/2041370
Japan89359772821/Mar/2035
Rhode Island, United States610.29595,325818
Algeria612.792833914/Mar/201414
Guatemala870.984399116/Mar/203836
Afghanistan700.880798922/Mar/201527
Wisconsin, United States591.079380119/Mar/20713
South Carolina, United States600.978484616/Mar/201118
Dominican Republic580.77651,04317/Mar/2081186
Iowa, United States630.57191,34125/Mar/2051746
Austria561.770541716/Mar/20712
Panama560.36671,97911/Mar/20121159
Tennessee, United States641.162056722/Mar/20914
Nigeria945.5616112 7/Apr/202357
Denmark541.260652615/Mar/20612
Sudan871.560241230/Mar/202431
Honduras630.45911,37626/Mar/2041969
Hungary651.958731420/Mar/201218
Kentucky, United States610.758181316/Mar/201216
Moldova640.35601,82118/Mar/20131252
District of Columbia, United States550.085546,542818
Nevada, United States580.55251,06516/Mar/2091378
Delaware, United States610.25102,75726/Mar/2021424
New Mexico, United States640.45031,33325/Mar/2061748
Armenia650.34591,37926/Mar/2063249
Belarus731.4405288 1/Apr/20833
Oklahoma, United States590.639562419/Mar/20712
New Hampshire, United States790.23751,53230/Mar/20161531
Kuwait770.13593,185 4/Apr/209926
Czechia632.135317024/Mar/20623
Finland631.232827325/Mar/20522
Israel601.132429524/Mar/20317
North Macedonia580.33211,13022/Mar/2031481
United Arab Emirates530.13172,9901725
Cameroon660.731347125/Mar/20834