Coronavirus deaths statistics give key insights for Lithuania


Since not everyone can be tested, the number of COVID-19 virus infections per country is becoming an increasingly poor measure of the spread of the corona virus. However, coronavirus deaths are almost always recorded in national statistics and provide important insights into how effectively the government of Lithuania fights the COVID-19 virus. That is why we show the number of deaths from corona per million inhabitants and calculate how much days Lithuania is behind the Chinese province Hubei (where it all started)

You can use the scroll wheel of your mouse to zoom in on the chart. Each hair line represents one of the 147 countries/regions. By checking the checkbox in the table you can highlight that country in the chart. Please click on the question mark to see read more details.

Chart with deaths per million inhabitants versus number of days after 1 death per million inhabitants milestone for 147 countries/regions


In the chart it can be seen that most hair lines follow the same trajectory. The red line for Lithuania can be forecasted by looking at the trajectory for nearby hair lines

Table showing the number of days to 10-fold deaths per capita


Country/Region Days behind Hubei population
[millions]
till now /1M capita 0.1 /1M capita
[date]
0.11 /1M capita
[days]
110 /1M capita
[days]
10100 /1M capita
[days]
Lithuania582.838613821/Mar/20420216
Hubei, China0594,5127622/Jan/20510
United States53332256,78277412/Mar/208917
Brazil65211169,18380122/Mar/20101636
India971,360133,73898 6/Apr/202749
Mexico71127101,67680328/Mar/20101841
United Kingdom506655,02482810/Mar/207813
Italy366049,82382724/Feb/208713
France466748,398722 6/Mar/207913
Iran378344,80253824/Feb/2091284
Spain444742,619908 6/Mar/205610
Argentina704537,00282324/Mar/20134876
Russia7714735,83824431/Mar/20132393
Peru653235,5491,10521/Mar/20111734
Colombia714635,28776426/Mar/20123360
New York, United States491934,3191,76414/Mar/20268
Texas, United States602921,01372518/Mar/2091584
South Africa865920,903356 3/Apr/20193754
California, United States574018,72647415/Mar/2091451
Florida, United States592117,99183817/Mar/2091047
New Jersey, United States548.916,7611,88710/Mar/2011114
Indonesia7326815,8845920/Mar/202078
Belgium511215,6181,35511/Mar/207611
Chile661715,06986723/Mar/20102245
Germany548314,15917014/Mar/2071155
Poland653813,61835516/Mar/201620183
Ecuador561713,20175714/Mar/2091335
Turkey608312,35814921/Mar/20613176
Illinois, United States581312,05095119/Mar/206718
Iraq603911,958304 7/Mar/20207541
Canada593711,50031416/Mar/20101225
Ukraine714211,29226925/Mar/201335141
Massachusetts, United States586.910,5121,51320/Mar/205612
Romania591910,04751822/Mar/2041299
Pennsylvania, United States58139,81676721/Mar/2041016
Georgia, United States54119,19886618/Mar/2031029
Bolivia71118,90778830/Mar/2083253
Netherlands48178,891510 8/Mar/207714
Michigan, United States5510.08,87588912/Mar/2010512
Philippines671088,1237515/Mar/201972
Pakistan862197,6963530/Mar/202348
Czechia61117,19667424/Mar/20412187
Quebec, Canada608.46,82981419/Mar/2081014
Egypt721006,5486522/Mar/201754
Arizona, United States607.36,46488821/Mar/2061242
Sweden50106,40661812/Mar/205814
Bangladesh951686,38838 7/Apr/202457
Louisiana, United States514.66,2601,34714/Mar/204711
Ohio, United States59125,99651320/Mar/2061031
Saudi Arabia70345,78016928/Mar/2094588
Morocco64365,31614822/Mar/20912390
Indiana, United States566.75,30578816/Mar/2071021
North Carolina, United States64105,03448026/Mar/2051456
Connecticut, United States533.64,8281,35418/Mar/2021010
Maryland, United States626.04,43473319/Mar/2010718
South Carolina, United States585.14,28383216/Mar/2091555
Tennessee, United States636.84,26662420/Mar/2010893
Guatemala98184,076231 4/Apr/20303253
Switzerland468.64,056472 5/Mar/208917
Virginia, United States578.53,93846114/Mar/20102227
Portugal54103,89737918/Mar/203835
Hungary589.83,80038915/Mar/201018184
Mississippi, United States583.03,6761,23519/Mar/2061029
Missouri, United States576.13,57858318/Mar/2061335
Ontario, Canada60143,53224920/Mar/2071028
Alabama, United States624.93,45770525/Mar/204942
Minnesota, United States635.63,29758521/Mar/2091130
Wisconsin, United States575.83,15054119/Mar/205954
Panama564.22,95771111/Mar/20121367
Bulgaria627.02,88041111/Mar/201834130
Honduras659.22,85731226/Mar/2063476
Tunisia65122,82124122/Mar/201016745
Colorado, United States545.82,80648712/Mar/2091024
Israel609.22,79930521/Mar/20614142
Washington, United States377.62,61934429/Feb/2041638
Austria558.92,38826812/Mar/20108202
Arkansas, United States633.02,35778124/Mar/2061585
Dominican Republic60102,31022319/Mar/20812107
Bosnia and Herzegovina603.52,27664821/Mar/20614114
Algeria64432,2725318/Mar/201327
Jordan173112,23621029/Mar/201117931
Iowa, United States623.22,20269825/Mar/2041432
Moldova642.72,14980118/Mar/2013849
Ireland564.92,02341111/Mar/2012718
Nevada, United States563.12,01765516/Mar/207941
Armenia623.01,95266026/Mar/2033050
Kazakhstan84191,94510531/Mar/202070135
Japan751261,9431510/Mar/2032140
Kentucky, United States584.51,78740016/Mar/2091357
Afghanistan83321,6875326/Mar/202448
Paraguay797.11,65723521/Mar/202511546
Ethiopia1631081,6471531/May/203873
Oklahoma, United States584.01,63441319/Mar/2061090
Greece54111,63015214/Mar/20727212
Costa Rica845.11,60831819/Mar/20328951
North Macedonia582.11,51172722/Mar/2031272
New Mexico, United States642.11,38366025/Mar/2061230
Kenya110481,38029 6/Apr/204093
Oman814.21,38033031/Mar/20174361
Croatia614.11,35333119/Mar/20922187
Kansas, United States582.91,32645513/Mar/20121494
Nepal156301,3214521/May/204168
Rhode Island, United States611.11,2941,22121/Mar/207318
Kyrgyzstan846.31,231195 3/Apr/20177217
Serbia616.91,19917420/Mar/20813133
Sudan96411,1972914/Apr/201840
Nigeria1152011,1675.819/Apr/2032
Azerbaijan75101,13111225/Mar/201760161
Belarus709.51,09611631/Mar/20626175
Slovenia562.11,05250514/Mar/20912201
Puerto Rico, United States633.21,01731821/Mar/20910128
Georgia823.7976262 4/Apr/201416535
Kosovo711.891450923/Mar/20151596
Nebraska, United States611.99094702649
Australia662390740 8/Mar/2025123
Lebanon606.990013110/Mar/201713292
Venezuela1453287127 2/Apr/207963
Kuwait814.4866196 4/Apr/20132182
Idaho, United States591.884947515112
North Dakota, United States600.88461,1101769
Oregon, United States554.282019415/Mar/20718138
South Dakota, United States440.98199264266
Victoria, Australia675.681914526/Mar/20811237
Utah, United States643.279324722/Mar/20923103
Denmark525.878413514/Mar/205968
Delaware, United States591.0748768623
Albania562.969924411/Mar/201236126
Slovakia795.5671123 1/Apr/201417244
District of Columbia, United States550.7670949816
West Virginia, United States671.866236930/Mar/20420124
Uzbekistan160336031811/Apr/208559
Montana, United States631.160356428/Mar/20222134
United Arab Emirates689.85525620/Mar/201525
New Hampshire, United States791.451237730/Mar/20161521
Korea, South42525099.823/Feb/2015
Alberta, Canada644.347111020/Mar/201113218
Montenegro560.643970634105
Cameroon83244351829/Mar/202157
Finland605.53756821/Mar/20616
Zambia148163572210/Apr/207439
Bahrain551.533821916/Mar/2066968
Malaysia62333351021/Mar/208236
British Columbia, Canada514.833169 9/Mar/20923
Senegal1031633020 4/Apr/203570
Congo (Kinshasa)66123272824/Mar/20978
Ghana113303231125/Mar/2055137
Norway515.43065714/Mar/20416

Chart with deaths per million elderly inhabitants age>65 years versus number of days after milestone of 10 deaths per million residents for 146 countries/regions


Some countries have a high percentage of elderly (in our definitions: perons with an age of 65 or higher) and therfore will have a much higher mortality rate for the corona virus. To corect for this effect we have created a chart and a table with the same structue as above, but now only the part of the population with an age above 65 is included.

Table which shows the number of days to tenfold deaths per capita rate for persons with an age > 65 years


Country/Region Days behind Hubei 65+ population
[millions]
till now /1M 65+ capita 1.0 /1M 65+ capita
[date]
1.010 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
10100 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
1001000 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
Lithuania610.638670121/Mar/20750
Hubei, China06.14,51274522/Jan/20510
United States5552256,7824,90014/Mar/208924
Brazil6419169,1838,97522/Mar/2091634
India9084133,7381,591 4/Apr/20224698
Mexico699.1101,67611,12027/Mar/2091737
United Kingdom521255,0244,50214/Mar/205915
Italy381449,8233,63427/Feb/207919
France491348,3983,602 8/Mar/2081016
Iran345.244,8028,69823/Feb/2071337
Spain469.142,6194,686 7/Mar/206712
Argentina715.037,0027,40624/Mar/20145076
Russia802235,8381,663 1/Apr/201527146
Peru642.635,54913,66520/Mar/20111631
Colombia703.935,2879,00925/Mar/20123059
New York, United States503.134,31911,02614/Mar/203610
Texas, United States613.821,0135,57518/Mar/20101790
South Africa793.120,9036,68831/Mar/20153546
California, United States585.518,7263,38516/Mar/2091673
Florida, United States614.517,9913,98918/Mar/20101594
New Jersey, United States561.416,76111,79415/Mar/20897
Indonesia661615,8841,01218/Mar/201558175
Belgium532.215,6187,21311/Mar/209613
Chile672.015,0697,52325/Mar/2092541
Germany581814,15979317/Mar/20812
Poland676.713,6182,02522/Mar/201230186
Ecuador551.213,20110,57214/Mar/2081229
Turkey597.112,3581,75221/Mar/20512159
Illinois, United States591.912,0506,34019/Mar/207823
Iraq531.311,9589,153 4/Mar/20166036
Canada626.211,5001,84918/Mar/20111340
Ukraine746.911,2921,64028/Mar/201350151
Massachusetts, United States591.210,5128,89822/Mar/204715
Romania613.610,0472,82323/Mar/20518137
Pennsylvania, United States612.39,8164,26022/Mar/2061022
Georgia, United States551.59,1986,18818/Mar/2041141
Bolivia670.88,90710,95329/Mar/2053149
Netherlands503.38,8912,65510/Mar/207823
Michigan, United States561.78,8755,22718/Mar/205714
Philippines615.68,1231,46314/Mar/201432155
Pakistan779.47,69681526/Mar/201836
Czechia632.17,1963,46924/Mar/20623185
Quebec, Canada601.66,8294,32721/Mar/2061219
Egypt665.26,5481,25018/Mar/201538104
Arizona, United States651.36,4644,93422/Mar/20101564
Sweden512.16,4063,07513/Mar/2051022
Bangladesh838.76,388736 5/Apr/201449
Louisiana, United States520.76,2608,97714/Mar/205715
Ohio, United States612.05,9963,01720/Mar/2081247
Saudi Arabia651.15,7805,09725/Mar/2072157
Morocco622.55,3162,11520/Mar/20910688
Indiana, United States571.15,3054,92517/Mar/2071128
North Carolina, United States661.75,0343,00026/Mar/2071595
Connecticut, United States550.64,8287,96618/Mar/204914
Maryland, United States630.94,4344,88919/Mar/2011722
South Carolina, United States600.94,2834,62116/Mar/20111887
Tennessee, United States641.14,2663,90222/Mar/20914112
Guatemala870.94,0764,79116/Mar/20383635
Switzerland501.64,0562,536 8/Mar/209931
Virginia, United States621.43,9382,88416/Mar/20131944
Portugal562.33,8971,72719/Mar/20411203
Hungary651.93,8002,03120/Mar/201218197
Mississippi, United States590.53,6767,72019/Mar/2071138
Missouri, United States611.03,5783,42920/Mar/2081284
Ontario, Canada632.43,5321,47221/Mar/2091254
Alabama, United States620.83,4574,14725/Mar/2041373
Minnesota, United States660.93,2973,65421/Mar/20121540
Wisconsin, United States581.03,1503,18219/Mar/20610121
Panama560.32,9578,77311/Mar/20121159
Bulgaria681.52,8801,95714/Mar/202162153
Honduras630.42,8576,65126/Mar/2041969
Tunisia641.02,8212,89419/Mar/201216346
Colorado, United States580.82,8063,48012/Mar/2013829
Israel601.12,7992,54824/Mar/20317152
Washington, United States391.22,6192,150 2/Mar/2041983
Austria561.72,3881,41216/Mar/20712224
Arkansas, United States650.52,3574,59424/Mar/20827101
Dominican Republic580.72,3103,14917/Mar/2081186
Bosnia and Herzegovina620.62,2763,93521/Mar/20828123
Algeria612.72,27283014/Mar/201414
Jordan630.42,2365,46527/Mar/20318024
Iowa, United States630.52,2024,10525/Mar/2051746
Moldova640.32,1496,98718/Mar/20131252
Ireland570.72,0232,96511/Mar/2013720
Nevada, United States580.52,0174,09316/Mar/2091378
Armenia650.31,9525,86526/Mar/2063249
Kazakhstan781.41,9451,41531/Mar/20147254
Japan87351,9435621/Mar/2033
Kentucky, United States610.71,7872,50016/Mar/201216106
Afghanistan700.81,6872,06722/Mar/20152761
Paraguay700.51,6573,65421/Mar/201611441
Ethiopia1363.81,647437 5/May/203757
Oklahoma, United States590.61,6342,58119/Mar/20712128
Greece592.31,63070214/Mar/2012146
Costa Rica830.51,6083,32919/Mar/20319051
North Macedonia580.31,5115,32122/Mar/2031481
New Mexico, United States640.41,3833,66425/Mar/2061748
Kenya821.11,3801,240 2/Apr/201661144
Oman680.11,38013,78531/Mar/2042645
Croatia680.81,3531,61919/Mar/201632188
Kansas, United States620.51,3262,84513/Mar/201614144
Nepal1381.71,32177917/May/202774
Rhode Island, United States610.21,2947,18521/Mar/207721
Kyrgyzstan700.31,2314,341 3/Apr/2037132
Serbia621.31,19994728/Mar/20123
Sudan871.51,19782030/Mar/202431
Nigeria945.51,167211 7/Apr/202357
Azerbaijan690.61,1311,81313/Mar/202356140
Belarus731.41,096780 1/Apr/20833
Slovenia580.41,0522,57414/Mar/201115208
Puerto Rico, United States640.71,0171,51621/Mar/201023162
Georgia900.69761,760 4/Apr/202216336
Nebraska, United States650.39092,93728/Mar/2042292
Australia703.690725017/Mar/2020129
Lebanon580.59001,87510/Mar/201512380
Venezuela1382.387137230/Mar/207559
Kuwait770.18667,682 4/Apr/209926
Idaho, United States590.38492,96919127
North Dakota, United States640.18467,40127/Mar/20421112
Oregon, United States570.88201,08015/Mar/20928208
South Dakota, United States650.18195,78611/Mar/20213098
Victoria, Australia700.981994926/Mar/2011113
Utah, United States640.47932,24922/Mar/20924111
Denmark541.278468115/Mar/20612
Delaware, United States610.27484,04326/Mar/2021424
Albania560.46991,77711/Mar/201288107
Slovakia810.9671788 1/Apr/2016184
District of Columbia, United States550.086707,911818
West Virginia, United States700.46621,84730/Mar/20722159
Uzbekistan1251.460341828/Mar/206462
Montana, United States630.26032,96928/Mar/20288105
United Arab Emirates530.15525,2071725
New Hampshire, United States790.25122,09230/Mar/20161531
Korea, South487.55096824/Feb/2020
Alberta, Canada640.547185920/Mar/201120
Montenegro560.094394,7129763
Cameroon660.743565525/Mar/20834
Finland631.237531225/Mar/20522
Zambia1000.33571,036 2/Apr/20346297
Bahrain490.043389,027981
Malaysia592.233515320/Mar/206212
British Columbia, Canada540.9331375 9/Mar/201232
Senegal860.5330660 1/Apr/202148
Congo (Kinshasa)610.432791921/Mar/20740
Ghana880.932334821/Mar/203460
Norway560.930633414/Mar/20916