Coronavirus deaths statistics give key insights for Ecuador


Since not everyone can be tested, the number of COVID-19 virus infections per country is becoming an increasingly poor measure of the spread of the corona virus. However, coronavirus deaths are almost always recorded in national statistics and provide important insights into how effectively the government of Ecuador fights the COVID-19 virus. That is why we show the number of deaths from corona per million inhabitants and calculate how much days Ecuador is behind the Chinese province Hubei (where it all started)

You can use the scroll wheel of your mouse to zoom in on the chart. Each hair line represents one of the 130 countries/regions. By checking the checkbox in the table you can highlight that country in the chart. Please click on the question mark to see read more details.

Chart with deaths per million inhabitants versus number of days after 1 death per million inhabitants milestone for 130 countries/regions


In the chart it can be seen that most hair lines follow the same trajectory. The red line for Ecuador can be forecasted by looking at the trajectory for nearby hair lines

Table showing the number of days to 10-fold deaths per capita


Country/Region Days behind Hubei population
[millions]
till now /1M capita 0.1 /1M capita
[date]
0.11 /1M capita
[days]
110 /1M capita
[days]
10100 /1M capita
[days]
Ecuador561711,35565114/Mar/2091335
Hubei, China0594,5127622/Jan/20510
United States53332206,93262412/Mar/208917
Brazil65211143,95268122/Mar/20101636
India971,36098,67873 6/Apr/202749
Mexico7112777,64661328/Mar/20101841
United Kingdom506642,14363410/Mar/207813
Italy366035,89459624/Feb/208713
New York, United States491933,1531,70414/Mar/20268
Peru653232,3961,00721/Mar/20111734
Spain444731,791677 6/Mar/205610
France466731,769474 6/Mar/207913
Iran378326,16931424/Feb/2091284
Colombia714625,99856326/Mar/20123360
Russia7714720,63014031/Mar/20132393
Argentina704516,93737724/Mar/20134876
South Africa865916,734285 3/Apr/20193754
New Jersey, United States548.916,1221,81510/Mar/2011114
Texas, United States602916,01655218/Mar/2091584
California, United States574015,88540215/Mar/2091451
Florida, United States592114,31766717/Mar/2091047
Chile661712,74173323/Mar/20102245
Indonesia7326810,7404020/Mar/202078
Belgium511210,01686911/Mar/207611
Germany54839,49511414/Mar/2071155
Massachusetts, United States586.99,4561,36120/Mar/205612
Canada59379,34525516/Mar/20101225
Iraq60399,181234 7/Mar/20207541
Illinois, United States58138,91670419/Mar/206718
Turkey60838,1959921/Mar/20613
Pennsylvania, United States58138,13063521/Mar/2041016
Bolivia71117,96570430/Mar/2083253
Michigan, United States5510.07,08370912/Mar/2010512
Georgia, United States54117,02166118/Mar/2031029
Pakistan862196,4843030/Mar/202348
Netherlands48176,406367 8/Mar/207714
Egypt721005,9305922/Mar/201754
Sweden50105,89356912/Mar/205814
Quebec, Canada608.45,83469519/Mar/2081014
Arizona, United States607.35,65077621/Mar/2061242
Louisiana, United States514.65,5111,18514/Mar/204711
Philippines671085,5045115/Mar/201972
Bangladesh951685,25131 7/Apr/202457
Romania59194,82524922/Mar/2041299
Ohio, United States59124,80441120/Mar/2061031
Saudi Arabia70344,76813928/Mar/2094588
Connecticut, United States533.64,5081,26418/Mar/2021010
Ukraine71424,22110125/Mar/201335141
Maryland, United States626.03,94965319/Mar/2010718
Indiana, United States566.73,63253916/Mar/2071021
North Carolina, United States64103,53233726/Mar/2051456
South Carolina, United States585.13,37865616/Mar/2091555
Guatemala98183,246184 4/Apr/20303253
Virginia, United States578.53,20537514/Mar/20102227
Mississippi, United States583.02,96999819/Mar/2061029
Ontario, Canada60142,89620420/Mar/2071028
Alabama, United States624.92,54051825/Mar/204942
Poland65382,5136516/Mar/201620
Tennessee, United States636.82,45435920/Mar/2010893
Panama564.22,37257011/Mar/20121367
Honduras659.22,35325726/Mar/2063476
Morocco64362,1946122/Mar/209123
Washington, United States377.62,12627929/Feb/2041638
Dominican Republic60102,10520319/Mar/20812107
Minnesota, United States635.62,08937021/Mar/2091130
Switzerland468.62,074242 5/Mar/208917
Missouri, United States576.12,06933718/Mar/2061335
Colorado, United States545.82,05135612/Mar/2091024
Portugal54101,97119218/Mar/203835
Ireland564.91,80436711/Mar/2012718
Algeria64431,7364018/Mar/201327
Kazakhstan84191,7259331/Mar/202070
Nevada, United States563.11,60051916/Mar/207941
Japan751261,5751210/Mar/2032140
Israel609.21,56917121/Mar/20614142
Afghanistan83321,4584626/Mar/202448
Arkansas, United States633.01,36945424/Mar/2061585
Iowa, United States623.21,35843025/Mar/2041432
Wisconsin, United States585.81,32722819/Mar/2061155
Moldova642.71,32049218/Mar/2013849
Ethiopia1631081,1981131/May/203873
Kentucky, United States584.51,17426316/Mar/2091357
Rhode Island, United States611.11,1141,052515
Nigeria1152011,1125.519/Apr/2032
Kyrgyzstan846.31,064169 3/Apr/20177217
Oklahoma, United States584.01,03126119/Mar/2061090
Armenia623.095932426/Mar/2033050
Oman814.293522331/Mar/20174361
Costa Rica845.190417919/Mar/20328951
Australia662388839 8/Mar/2025123
New Mexico, United States642.187741825/Mar/2061230
Paraguay797.185712221/Mar/202511546
Bosnia and Herzegovina603.585624421/Mar/20614114
Sudan96418362014/Apr/201840
Belarus709.58338831/Mar/20626
Bulgaria627.082511811/Mar/201834130
Victoria, Australia675.680014226/Mar/20811237
Austria558.97999012/Mar/20108
Hungary589.87657815/Mar/201018
Serbia616.974910920/Mar/20813133
North Macedonia582.173935622/Mar/2031272
Kenya1104871115 6/Apr/204093
Kansas, United States582.966923013/Mar/20121494
Puerto Rico, United States633.266120721/Mar/20910128
Czechia61116556124/Mar/20412
Denmark525.865011214/Mar/205968
Delaware, United States591.0636653623
Venezuela1453262819 2/Apr/207963
District of Columbia, United States550.7627888816
Kuwait814.4610138 4/Apr/20132182
Azerbaijan75105915925/Mar/201760
Oregon, United States554.255913315/Mar/20718138
Nepal156304981721/May/204168
Kosovo711.848827223/Mar/20151596
Nebraska, United States611.94782472649
Uzbekistan160334701411/Apr/208559
Idaho, United States591.846926215112
Utah, United States643.245914322/Mar/20923103
New Hampshire, United States791.443932330/Mar/20161521
United Arab Emirates689.84194320/Mar/201525
Cameroon83244181729/Mar/202157
Korea, South42524158.023/Feb/2015
Greece54113913614/Mar/20727
Albania562.938713511/Mar/201236126
Lebanon606.93675410/Mar/2017132
West Virginia, United States671.835519830/Mar/20420124
Finland605.53446221/Mar/20616
Zambia148163322010/Apr/207439
Senegal1031631119 4/Apr/203570
Ghana113303019.925/Mar/2055

Chart with deaths per million elderly inhabitants age>65 years versus number of days after milestone of 10 deaths per million residents for 129 countries/regions


Some countries have a high percentage of elderly (in our definitions: perons with an age of 65 or higher) and therfore will have a much higher mortality rate for the corona virus. To corect for this effect we have created a chart and a table with the same structue as above, but now only the part of the population with an age above 65 is included.

Table which shows the number of days to tenfold deaths per capita rate for persons with an age > 65 years


Country/Region Days behind Hubei 65+ population
[millions]
till now /1M 65+ capita 1.0 /1M 65+ capita
[date]
1.010 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
10100 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
1001000 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
Ecuador551.211,3559,09414/Mar/2081229
Hubei, China06.14,51274522/Jan/20510
United States5552206,9323,94914/Mar/208924
Brazil6419143,9527,63622/Mar/2091634
India908498,6781,174 4/Apr/20224698
Mexico699.177,6468,49227/Mar/2091737
United Kingdom521242,1433,44814/Mar/205915
Italy381435,8942,61827/Feb/207919
New York, United States503.133,15310,65114/Mar/203610
Peru642.632,39612,45320/Mar/20111631
Spain469.131,7913,495 7/Mar/206712
France491331,7692,365 8/Mar/2081016
Iran345.226,1695,08023/Feb/2071337
Colombia703.925,9986,63725/Mar/20123059
Russia802220,630957 1/Apr/201527
Argentina715.016,9373,39024/Mar/20145076
South Africa793.116,7345,35431/Mar/20153546
New Jersey, United States561.416,12211,34415/Mar/20897
Texas, United States613.816,0164,24918/Mar/20101790
California, United States585.515,8852,87216/Mar/2091673
Florida, United States614.514,3173,17418/Mar/20101594
Chile672.012,7416,36025/Mar/2092541
Indonesia661610,74068418/Mar/201558
Belgium532.210,0164,62611/Mar/209613
Germany58189,49553217/Mar/20812
Massachusetts, United States591.29,4568,00422/Mar/204715
Canada626.29,3451,50218/Mar/20111340
Iraq531.39,1817,027 4/Mar/20166036
Illinois, United States591.98,9164,69119/Mar/207823
Turkey597.18,1951,16221/Mar/20512159
Pennsylvania, United States612.38,1303,52822/Mar/2061022
Bolivia670.87,9659,79429/Mar/2053149
Michigan, United States561.77,0834,17218/Mar/205714
Georgia, United States551.57,0214,72318/Mar/2041141
Pakistan779.46,48468726/Mar/201836
Netherlands503.36,4061,91310/Mar/207823
Egypt665.25,9301,13218/Mar/201538104
Sweden512.15,8932,82913/Mar/2051022
Quebec, Canada601.65,8343,69721/Mar/2061219
Arizona, United States651.35,6504,31222/Mar/20101564
Louisiana, United States520.75,5117,90314/Mar/205715
Philippines615.65,50499114/Mar/201432
Bangladesh838.75,251605 5/Apr/201449
Romania613.64,8251,35623/Mar/20518137
Ohio, United States612.04,8042,41820/Mar/2081247
Saudi Arabia651.14,7684,20525/Mar/2072157
Connecticut, United States550.64,5087,43818/Mar/204914
Ukraine746.94,22161328/Mar/201350
Maryland, United States630.93,9494,35519/Mar/2011722
Indiana, United States571.13,6323,37217/Mar/2071128
North Carolina, United States661.73,5322,10526/Mar/2071595
South Carolina, United States600.93,3783,64516/Mar/20111887
Guatemala870.93,2463,81516/Mar/20383635
Virginia, United States621.43,2052,34716/Mar/20131944
Mississippi, United States590.52,9696,23519/Mar/2071138
Ontario, Canada632.42,8961,20721/Mar/2091254
Alabama, United States620.82,5403,04725/Mar/2041373
Poland676.72,51337422/Mar/201230
Tennessee, United States641.12,4542,24522/Mar/20914112
Panama560.32,3727,03711/Mar/20121159
Honduras630.42,3535,47726/Mar/2041969
Morocco622.52,19487320/Mar/209106
Washington, United States391.22,1261,745 2/Mar/2041983
Dominican Republic580.72,1052,86917/Mar/2081186
Minnesota, United States660.92,0892,31521/Mar/20121540
Switzerland501.62,0741,297 8/Mar/209931
Missouri, United States611.02,0691,98320/Mar/2081284
Colorado, United States580.82,0512,54412/Mar/2013829
Portugal562.31,97187419/Mar/20411
Ireland570.71,8042,64411/Mar/2013720
Algeria612.71,73663514/Mar/201414
Kazakhstan781.41,7251,25531/Mar/20147254
Nevada, United States580.51,6003,24716/Mar/2091378
Japan87351,5754521/Mar/2033
Israel601.11,5691,42824/Mar/20317152
Afghanistan700.81,4581,78622/Mar/20152761
Arkansas, United States650.51,3692,66824/Mar/20827101
Iowa, United States630.51,3582,53225/Mar/2051746
Wisconsin, United States591.01,3271,34119/Mar/20714124
Moldova640.31,3204,29218/Mar/20131252
Ethiopia1363.81,198318 5/May/203757
Kentucky, United States610.71,1741,64216/Mar/201216106
Rhode Island, United States610.21,1146,186818
Nigeria945.51,112201 7/Apr/202357
Kyrgyzstan700.31,0643,752 3/Apr/2037132
Oklahoma, United States590.61,0311,62819/Mar/20712128
Armenia650.39592,88126/Mar/2063249
Oman680.19359,34031/Mar/2042645
Costa Rica830.59041,87219/Mar/20319051
Australia703.688824517/Mar/2020129
New Mexico, United States640.48772,32425/Mar/2061748
Paraguay700.58571,89021/Mar/201611441
Bosnia and Herzegovina620.68561,48021/Mar/20828123
Sudan871.583657230/Mar/202431
Belarus731.4833593 1/Apr/20833
Bulgaria681.582556114/Mar/202162
Victoria, Australia700.980092726/Mar/2011113
Austria561.779947216/Mar/20712
Hungary651.976540920/Mar/201218
Serbia621.374959228/Mar/20123
North Macedonia580.37392,60322/Mar/2031481
Kenya821.1711639 2/Apr/201661
Kansas, United States620.56691,43513/Mar/201614144
Puerto Rico, United States640.766198621/Mar/201023
Czechia632.165531624/Mar/20623
Denmark541.265056415/Mar/20612
Delaware, United States610.26363,43826/Mar/2021424
Venezuela1382.362826830/Mar/207559
District of Columbia, United States550.086277,404818
Kuwait770.16105,411 4/Apr/209926
Azerbaijan690.659194813/Mar/202356
Oregon, United States570.855973615/Mar/20928
Nepal1381.749829417/May/202774
Nebraska, United States650.34781,54428/Mar/2042292
Uzbekistan1251.447032628/Mar/206462
Idaho, United States590.34691,64019127
Utah, United States640.44591,30222/Mar/20924111
New Hampshire, United States790.24391,79430/Mar/20161531
United Arab Emirates530.14193,9521725
Cameroon660.741862925/Mar/20834
Korea, South487.54155624/Feb/2020
Greece592.339116814/Mar/2012146
Albania560.438798411/Mar/201288
Lebanon580.536776410/Mar/2015123
West Virginia, United States700.435599030/Mar/20722
Finland631.234428725/Mar/20522
Zambia1000.3332964 2/Apr/203462
Senegal860.5311622 1/Apr/202148
Ghana880.930132421/Mar/203460