Coronavirus deaths statistics give key insights for Serbia


Since not everyone can be tested, the number of COVID-19 virus infections per country is becoming an increasingly poor measure of the spread of the corona virus. However, coronavirus deaths are almost always recorded in national statistics and provide important insights into how effectively the government of Serbia fights the COVID-19 virus. That is why we show the number of deaths from corona per million inhabitants and calculate how much days Serbia is behind the Chinese province Hubei (where it all started)

You can use the scroll wheel of your mouse to zoom in on the chart. Each hair line represents one of the 137 countries/regions. By checking the checkbox in the table you can highlight that country in the chart. Please click on the question mark to see read more details.

Chart with deaths per million inhabitants versus number of days after 1 death per million inhabitants milestone for 137 countries/regions


In the chart it can be seen that most hair lines follow the same trajectory. The red line for Serbia can be forecasted by looking at the trajectory for nearby hair lines

Table showing the number of days to 10-fold deaths per capita


Country/Region Days behind Hubei population
[millions]
till now /1M capita 0.1 /1M capita
[date]
0.11 /1M capita
[days]
110 /1M capita
[days]
10100 /1M capita
[days]
Serbia616.977811320/Mar/20813133
Hubei, China0594,5127622/Jan/20510
United States53332220,11966412/Mar/208917
Brazil65211154,17673022/Mar/20101636
India971,360115,19785 6/Apr/202749
Mexico7112786,33868228/Mar/20101841
United Kingdom506643,72665810/Mar/207813
Italy366036,61660824/Feb/208713
Spain444733,992724 6/Mar/205610
Peru653233,7591,05021/Mar/20111734
France466733,374498 6/Mar/207913
New York, United States491933,3661,71514/Mar/20268
Iran378330,71236924/Feb/2091284
Colombia714629,10263026/Mar/20123360
Argentina704526,71659424/Mar/20134876
Russia7714724,20516531/Mar/20132393
South Africa865918,492315 3/Apr/20193754
Texas, United States602917,48160318/Mar/2091584
California, United States574016,98243015/Mar/2091451
New Jersey, United States548.916,2141,82510/Mar/2011114
Florida, United States592116,02174617/Mar/2091047
Chile661713,67678723/Mar/20102245
Indonesia7326812,6174720/Mar/202078
Ecuador561712,39571014/Mar/2091335
Belgium511210,44390611/Mar/207611
Iraq603910,317262 7/Mar/20207541
Germany54839,84211814/Mar/2071155
Canada59379,83126916/Mar/20101225
Massachusetts, United States586.99,7531,40320/Mar/205612
Illinois, United States58139,49674919/Mar/206718
Turkey60839,37111321/Mar/20613176
Bolivia71118,50275230/Mar/2083253
Pennsylvania, United States58138,47566221/Mar/2041016
Georgia, United States54117,65772118/Mar/2031029
Michigan, United States5510.07,36373712/Mar/2010512
Netherlands48176,768388 8/Mar/207714
Philippines671086,6756215/Mar/201972
Pakistan862196,6733030/Mar/202348
Egypt721006,1306122/Mar/201754
Quebec, Canada608.46,04472019/Mar/2081014
Romania59195,93130622/Mar/2041299
Sweden50105,91857112/Mar/205814
Ukraine71425,83413925/Mar/201335141
Arizona, United States607.35,83080121/Mar/2061242
Louisiana, United States514.65,7661,24014/Mar/204711
Bangladesh951685,68134 7/Apr/202457
Saudi Arabia70345,20115228/Mar/2094588
Ohio, United States59125,07543420/Mar/2061031
Connecticut, United States533.64,5541,27718/Mar/2021010
Maryland, United States626.04,04166819/Mar/2010718
Indiana, United States566.73,96058816/Mar/2071021
North Carolina, United States64103,93937626/Mar/2051456
South Carolina, United States585.13,66171116/Mar/2091555
Poland65383,6149416/Mar/201620
Guatemala98183,541200 4/Apr/20303253
Virginia, United States578.53,45440514/Mar/20102227
Mississippi, United States583.03,1711,06519/Mar/2061029
Ontario, Canada60143,10321920/Mar/2071028
Morocco64362,9768322/Mar/209123
Tennessee, United States636.82,92242820/Mar/2010893
Alabama, United States624.92,78956925/Mar/204942
Missouri, United States576.12,60042418/Mar/2061335
Honduras659.22,57628126/Mar/2063476
Panama564.22,57461911/Mar/20121367
Minnesota, United States635.62,29240621/Mar/2091130
Israel609.22,26324721/Mar/20614142
Washington, United States377.62,25829729/Feb/2041638
Dominican Republic60102,20321319/Mar/20812107
Portugal54102,19821418/Mar/203835
Colorado, United States545.82,18037912/Mar/2091024
Switzerland468.62,138249 5/Mar/208917
Algeria64431,8654318/Mar/201327
Ireland564.91,85237611/Mar/2012718
Kazakhstan84191,7689531/Mar/202070
Arkansas, United States633.01,71456824/Mar/2061585
Nevada, United States563.11,71255616/Mar/207941
Japan751261,6761310/Mar/2032140
Moldova642.71,60059718/Mar/2013849
Wisconsin, United States585.81,60027519/Mar/2061155
Iowa, United States623.21,54849125/Mar/2041432
Czechia61111,51314224/Mar/20412187
Afghanistan83321,4974726/Mar/202448
Ethiopia1631081,3651331/May/203873
Kentucky, United States584.51,32629716/Mar/2091357
Paraguay797.11,20717121/Mar/202511546
Costa Rica845.11,20423819/Mar/20328951
Oklahoma, United States584.01,17329619/Mar/2061090
Hungary589.81,17312015/Mar/201018184
Rhode Island, United States611.11,1591,09421/Mar/207318
Nigeria1152011,1255.619/Apr/2032
Oman814.21,11426631/Mar/20174361
Kyrgyzstan846.31,111176 3/Apr/20177217
Armenia623.01,09136926/Mar/2033050
Bulgaria627.01,00814411/Mar/201834130
Bosnia and Herzegovina603.599728421/Mar/20614114
New Mexico, United States642.193544625/Mar/2061230
Belarus709.59339931/Mar/20626
Australia662390540 8/Mar/2025123
Austria558.990410212/Mar/20108202
Kansas, United States582.987029913/Mar/20121494
North Macedonia582.184640722/Mar/2031272
Kenya1104883918 6/Apr/204093
Sudan96418362014/Apr/201840
Victoria, Australia675.681714526/Mar/20811237
Puerto Rico, United States633.276824021/Mar/20910128
Nepal156307572621/May/204168
Venezuela1453273623 2/Apr/207963
Kuwait814.4710161 4/Apr/20132182
Tunisia65126875922/Mar/2010167
Denmark525.868611814/Mar/205968
Delaware, United States591.0666684623
Kosovo711.865636523/Mar/20151596
District of Columbia, United States550.7641908816
Azerbaijan75106306325/Mar/201760
Oregon, United States554.262714915/Mar/20718138
Nebraska, United States611.95542862649
Utah, United States643.254617022/Mar/20923103
Uzbekistan160335311611/Apr/208559
Idaho, United States591.853129715112
Lebanon606.95267710/Mar/2017132
Greece54115204814/Mar/20727
New Hampshire, United States791.446834430/Mar/20161521
United Arab Emirates689.84664820/Mar/201525
Albania562.945415911/Mar/201236126
Korea, South42524478.623/Feb/2015
Cameroon83244241729/Mar/202157
North Dakota, United States600.84085351769
West Virginia, United States671.840222430/Mar/20420124
Jordan173113803629/Mar/2011179
Croatia614.13749119/Mar/20922
Finland605.53516421/Mar/20616
Zambia148163462110/Apr/207439
South Dakota, United States440.93233654266
Senegal1031631920 4/Apr/203570
Ghana113303101025/Mar/2055137
Congo (Kinshasa)66123032624/Mar/20978
Bahrain551.530219616/Mar/2066968

Chart with deaths per million elderly inhabitants age>65 years versus number of days after milestone of 10 deaths per million residents for 136 countries/regions


Some countries have a high percentage of elderly (in our definitions: perons with an age of 65 or higher) and therfore will have a much higher mortality rate for the corona virus. To corect for this effect we have created a chart and a table with the same structue as above, but now only the part of the population with an age above 65 is included.

Table which shows the number of days to tenfold deaths per capita rate for persons with an age > 65 years


Country/Region Days behind Hubei 65+ population
[millions]
till now /1M 65+ capita 1.0 /1M 65+ capita
[date]
1.010 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
10100 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
1001000 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
Serbia621.377861428/Mar/20123
Hubei, China06.14,51274522/Jan/20510
United States5552220,1194,20114/Mar/208924
Brazil6419154,1768,17922/Mar/2091634
India9084115,1971,371 4/Apr/20224698
Mexico699.186,3389,44227/Mar/2091737
United Kingdom521243,7263,57814/Mar/205915
Italy381436,6162,67127/Feb/207919
Spain469.133,9923,737 7/Mar/206712
Peru642.633,75912,97720/Mar/20111631
France491333,3742,484 8/Mar/2081016
New York, United States503.133,36610,72014/Mar/203610
Iran345.230,7125,96223/Feb/2071337
Colombia703.929,1027,43025/Mar/20123059
Argentina715.026,7165,34724/Mar/20145076
Russia802224,2051,123 1/Apr/201527146
South Africa793.118,4925,91631/Mar/20153546
Texas, United States613.817,4814,63818/Mar/20101790
California, United States585.516,9823,07016/Mar/2091673
New Jersey, United States561.416,21411,40915/Mar/20897
Florida, United States614.516,0213,55218/Mar/20101594
Chile672.013,6766,82725/Mar/2092541
Indonesia661612,61780418/Mar/201558
Ecuador551.212,3959,92714/Mar/2081229
Belgium532.210,4434,82311/Mar/209613
Iraq531.310,3177,897 4/Mar/20166036
Germany58189,84255217/Mar/20812
Canada626.29,8311,58118/Mar/20111340
Massachusetts, United States591.29,7538,25522/Mar/204715
Illinois, United States591.99,4964,99619/Mar/207823
Turkey597.19,3711,32821/Mar/20512159
Bolivia670.88,50210,45529/Mar/2053149
Pennsylvania, United States612.38,4753,67822/Mar/2061022
Georgia, United States551.57,6575,15118/Mar/2041141
Michigan, United States561.77,3634,33718/Mar/205714
Netherlands503.36,7682,02110/Mar/207823
Philippines615.66,6751,20214/Mar/201432155
Pakistan779.46,67370726/Mar/201836
Egypt665.26,1301,17118/Mar/201538104
Quebec, Canada601.66,0443,83021/Mar/2061219
Romania613.65,9311,66723/Mar/20518137
Sweden512.15,9182,84113/Mar/2051022
Ukraine746.95,83484728/Mar/201350
Arizona, United States651.35,8304,45022/Mar/20101564
Louisiana, United States520.75,7668,26914/Mar/205715
Bangladesh838.75,681654 5/Apr/201449
Saudi Arabia651.15,2014,58625/Mar/2072157
Ohio, United States612.05,0752,55420/Mar/2081247
Connecticut, United States550.64,5547,51418/Mar/204914
Maryland, United States630.94,0414,45619/Mar/2011722
Indiana, United States571.13,9603,67617/Mar/2071128
North Carolina, United States661.73,9392,34726/Mar/2071595
South Carolina, United States600.93,6613,95016/Mar/20111887
Poland676.73,61453722/Mar/201230
Guatemala870.93,5414,16216/Mar/20383635
Virginia, United States621.43,4542,52916/Mar/20131944
Mississippi, United States590.53,1716,65919/Mar/2071138
Ontario, Canada632.43,1031,29421/Mar/2091254
Morocco622.52,9761,18420/Mar/20910688
Tennessee, United States641.12,9222,67322/Mar/20914112
Alabama, United States620.82,7893,34625/Mar/2041373
Missouri, United States611.02,6002,49220/Mar/2081284
Honduras630.42,5765,99726/Mar/2041969
Panama560.32,5747,63711/Mar/20121159
Minnesota, United States660.92,2922,54021/Mar/20121540
Israel601.12,2632,06024/Mar/20317152
Washington, United States391.22,2581,853 2/Mar/2041983
Dominican Republic580.72,2033,00317/Mar/2081186
Portugal562.32,19897419/Mar/20411
Colorado, United States580.82,1802,70412/Mar/2013829
Switzerland501.62,1381,337 8/Mar/209931
Algeria612.71,86568214/Mar/201414
Ireland570.71,8522,71411/Mar/2013720
Kazakhstan781.41,7681,28631/Mar/20147254
Arkansas, United States650.51,7143,34124/Mar/20827101
Nevada, United States580.51,7123,47416/Mar/2091378
Japan87351,6764821/Mar/2033
Moldova640.31,6005,20218/Mar/20131252
Wisconsin, United States591.01,6001,61619/Mar/20714124
Iowa, United States630.51,5482,88625/Mar/2051746
Czechia632.11,51372924/Mar/20623
Afghanistan700.81,4971,83422/Mar/20152761
Ethiopia1363.81,365363 5/May/203757
Kentucky, United States610.71,3261,85516/Mar/201216106
Paraguay700.51,2072,66121/Mar/201611441
Costa Rica830.51,2042,49319/Mar/20319051
Oklahoma, United States590.61,1731,85319/Mar/20712128
Hungary651.91,17362720/Mar/201218
Rhode Island, United States610.21,1596,43621/Mar/207721
Nigeria945.51,125204 7/Apr/202357
Oman680.11,11411,12831/Mar/2042645
Kyrgyzstan700.31,1113,918 3/Apr/2037132
Armenia650.31,0913,27826/Mar/2063249
Bulgaria681.51,00868514/Mar/202162
Bosnia and Herzegovina620.69971,72421/Mar/20828123
New Mexico, United States640.49352,47725/Mar/2061748
Belarus731.4933664 1/Apr/20833
Australia703.690524917/Mar/2020129
Austria561.790453416/Mar/20712
Kansas, United States620.58701,86613/Mar/201614144
North Macedonia580.38462,97922/Mar/2031481
Kenya821.1839754 2/Apr/201661
Sudan871.583657230/Mar/202431
Victoria, Australia700.981794726/Mar/2011113
Puerto Rico, United States640.77681,14521/Mar/201023162
Nepal1381.775744617/May/202774
Venezuela1382.373631430/Mar/207559
Kuwait770.17106,298 4/Apr/209926
Tunisia641.068770519/Mar/2012163
Denmark541.268659515/Mar/20612
Delaware, United States610.26663,60026/Mar/2021424
District of Columbia, United States550.086417,569818
Azerbaijan690.66301,01013/Mar/202356140
Oregon, United States570.862782615/Mar/20928
Nebraska, United States650.35541,79028/Mar/2042292
Utah, United States640.45461,54822/Mar/20924111
Uzbekistan1251.453136828/Mar/206462
Idaho, United States590.35311,85719127
Lebanon580.55261,09610/Mar/201512380
Greece592.352022414/Mar/2012146
New Hampshire, United States790.24681,91230/Mar/20161531
United Arab Emirates530.14664,3961725
Albania560.44541,15411/Mar/201288107
Korea, South487.54476024/Feb/2020
Cameroon660.742463825/Mar/20834
North Dakota, United States640.14083,56927/Mar/20421112
West Virginia, United States700.44021,12230/Mar/20722158
Jordan630.438092927/Mar/203180
Croatia680.837444719/Mar/201632
Finland631.235129225/Mar/20522
Zambia1000.33461,004 2/Apr/20346297
South Dakota, United States650.13232,28211/Mar/20213098
Senegal860.5319638 1/Apr/202148
Ghana880.931033421/Mar/203460
Congo (Kinshasa)610.430385221/Mar/20740
Bahrain490.043028,065981