Coronavirus deaths statistics give key insights for Hubei, China


Since not everyone can be tested, the number of COVID-19 virus infections per country is becoming an increasingly poor measure of the spread of the corona virus. However, coronavirus deaths are almost always recorded in national statistics and provide important insights into how effectively the government of Hubei, China fights the COVID-19 virus. That is why we show the number of deaths from corona per million inhabitants and calculate how much days Hubei, China is behind the Chinese province Hubei (where it all started)

You can use the scroll wheel of your mouse to zoom in on the chart. Each hair line represents one of the 139 countries/regions. By checking the checkbox in the table you can highlight that country in the chart. Please click on the question mark to see read more details.

Chart with deaths per million inhabitants versus number of days after 1 death per million inhabitants milestone for 139 countries/regions


In the chart it can be seen that most hair lines follow the same trajectory. The red line for Hubei, China can be forecasted by looking at the trajectory for nearby hair lines

Table showing the number of days to 10-fold deaths per capita


Country/Region Days behind Hubei population
[millions]
till now /1M capita 0.1 /1M capita
[date]
0.11 /1M capita
[days]
110 /1M capita
[days]
10100 /1M capita
[days]
Hubei, China0594,5127622/Jan/20510
United States53332226,69168412/Mar/208917
Brazil65211157,94674822/Mar/20101636
India971,360120,01088 6/Apr/202749
Mexico7112789,81471028/Mar/20101841
United Kingdom506645,36568310/Mar/207813
Italy366037,70062624/Feb/208713
Spain444735,298752 6/Mar/205610
France466735,268526 6/Mar/207913
Peru653234,1971,06321/Mar/20111734
New York, United States491933,4331,71914/Mar/20268
Iran378333,29940024/Feb/2091284
Colombia714630,56566226/Mar/20123360
Argentina704529,73066224/Mar/20134876
Russia7714726,40918031/Mar/20132393
South Africa865919,053324 3/Apr/20193754
Texas, United States602918,06162318/Mar/2091584
California, United States574017,46044215/Mar/2091451
Florida, United States592116,50576817/Mar/2091047
New Jersey, United States548.916,3061,83610/Mar/2011114
Chile661714,02680723/Mar/20102245
Indonesia7326813,5125020/Mar/202078
Ecuador561712,58872214/Mar/2091335
Belgium511210,89994611/Mar/207611
Iraq603910,724273 7/Mar/20207541
Germany548310,12112214/Mar/2071155
Canada593710,05127516/Mar/20101225
Turkey60839,95012021/Mar/20613176
Massachusetts, United States586.99,8881,42320/Mar/205612
Illinois, United States58139,83877619/Mar/206718
Pennsylvania, United States58138,68367821/Mar/2041016
Bolivia71118,67276730/Mar/2083253
Georgia, United States54117,84473918/Mar/2031029
Michigan, United States5510.07,58575912/Mar/2010512
Netherlands48177,142409 8/Mar/207714
Philippines671087,0536515/Mar/201972
Ukraine71426,77016225/Mar/201335141
Pakistan862196,7593130/Mar/202348
Romania59196,57433922/Mar/2041299
Egypt721006,2226222/Mar/201754
Quebec, Canada608.46,17273519/Mar/2081014
Sweden50105,91857112/Mar/205814
Arizona, United States607.35,89180921/Mar/2061242
Louisiana, United States514.65,8721,26314/Mar/204711
Bangladesh951685,83835 7/Apr/202457
Saudi Arabia70345,32915628/Mar/2094588
Ohio, United States59125,23944820/Mar/2061031
Poland65384,61512016/Mar/201620183
Connecticut, United States533.64,5951,28918/Mar/2021010
North Carolina, United States64104,21140226/Mar/2051456
Indiana, United States566.74,19462316/Mar/2071021
Maryland, United States626.04,10867919/Mar/2010718
South Carolina, United States585.13,84274616/Mar/2091555
Guatemala98183,665207 4/Apr/20303253
Virginia, United States578.53,59542114/Mar/20102227
Morocco64363,4459622/Mar/209123
Mississippi, United States583.03,2831,10319/Mar/2061029
Tennessee, United States636.83,20746920/Mar/2010893
Ontario, Canada60143,15322220/Mar/2071028
Alabama, United States624.92,89259025/Mar/204942
Missouri, United States576.12,85546518/Mar/2061335
Panama564.22,65063711/Mar/20121367
Honduras659.22,63928826/Mar/2063476
Czechia61112,54723824/Mar/20412187
Israel609.22,48327121/Mar/20614142
Minnesota, United States635.62,42142921/Mar/2091130
Portugal54102,37123118/Mar/203835
Washington, United States377.62,33730729/Feb/2041638
Colorado, United States545.82,23638812/Mar/2091024
Dominican Republic60102,22621519/Mar/20812107
Switzerland468.62,147250 5/Mar/208917
Algeria64431,9314518/Mar/201327
Ireland564.91,89038411/Mar/2012718
Arkansas, United States633.01,85761524/Mar/2061585
Wisconsin, United States585.81,85231819/Mar/2061155
Kazakhstan84191,8259831/Mar/202070
Nevada, United States563.11,75256916/Mar/207941
Japan751261,7261410/Mar/2032140
Moldova642.71,71063818/Mar/2013849
Iowa, United States623.21,68053225/Mar/2041432
Hungary589.81,53515715/Mar/201018184
Afghanistan83321,5234826/Mar/202448
Ethiopia1631081,4451331/May/203873
Kentucky, United States584.51,42832016/Mar/2091357
Paraguay797.11,34719121/Mar/202511546
Costa Rica845.11,32926319/Mar/20328951
Oklahoma, United States584.01,27332219/Mar/2061090
Armenia623.01,22241326/Mar/2033050
Oman814.21,20328831/Mar/20174361
Rhode Island, United States611.11,1881,12121/Mar/207318
Bulgaria627.01,16116611/Mar/201834130
Kyrgyzstan846.31,136180 3/Apr/20177217
Nigeria1152011,1355.619/Apr/2032
Bosnia and Herzegovina603.51,12532021/Mar/20614114
Austria558.91,00511312/Mar/20108202
Kansas, United States582.998333713/Mar/20121494
Tunisia65129838422/Mar/2010167
New Mexico, United States642.198046725/Mar/2061230
Belarus709.596510231/Mar/20626175
North Macedonia582.194945722/Mar/2031272
Kenya1104893420 6/Apr/204093
Australia662390740 8/Mar/2025123
Nepal156308763021/May/204168
Sudan96418372114/Apr/201840
Victoria, Australia675.681914526/Mar/20811237
Puerto Rico, United States633.280825321/Mar/20910128
Serbia616.979811620/Mar/20813133
Venezuela1453278024 2/Apr/207963
Kuwait814.4756171 4/Apr/20132182
Denmark525.870912214/Mar/205968
Azerbaijan75106886825/Mar/201760
Delaware, United States591.0686704623
Jordan173116686329/Mar/2011179
Oregon, United States554.266415715/Mar/20718138
Kosovo711.866336923/Mar/20151596
District of Columbia, United States550.7644913816
Nebraska, United States611.96203212649
Greece54115935514/Mar/20727
Lebanon606.95908610/Mar/2017132
Idaho, United States591.858532715112
Utah, United States643.257818022/Mar/20923103
Uzbekistan160335561711/Apr/208559
Albania562.948717011/Mar/201236126
United Arab Emirates689.84824920/Mar/201525
North Dakota, United States600.84766251769
New Hampshire, United States791.447534930/Mar/20161521
Croatia614.147011519/Mar/20922187
Korea, South42524618.923/Feb/2015
West Virginia, United States671.843424230/Mar/20420124
Cameroon83244261729/Mar/202157
South Dakota, United States440.93754244266
Finland605.53546421/Mar/20616
Zambia148163482110/Apr/207439
Senegal1031632220 4/Apr/203570
Ghana113303161025/Mar/2055137
Bahrain551.531620516/Mar/2066968
Alberta, Canada644.33097220/Mar/201113
Congo (Kinshasa)66123052624/Mar/20978
Montana, United States631.130528528/Mar/20222134

Chart with deaths per million elderly inhabitants age>65 years versus number of days after milestone of 10 deaths per million residents for 138 countries/regions


Some countries have a high percentage of elderly (in our definitions: perons with an age of 65 or higher) and therfore will have a much higher mortality rate for the corona virus. To corect for this effect we have created a chart and a table with the same structue as above, but now only the part of the population with an age above 65 is included.

Table which shows the number of days to tenfold deaths per capita rate for persons with an age > 65 years


Country/Region Days behind Hubei 65+ population
[millions]
till now /1M 65+ capita 1.0 /1M 65+ capita
[date]
1.010 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
10100 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
1001000 /1M 65+ capita
[days]
Hubei, China06.14,51274522/Jan/20510
United States5552226,6914,32614/Mar/208924
Brazil6419157,9468,37922/Mar/2091634
India9084120,0101,428 4/Apr/20224698
Mexico699.189,8149,82327/Mar/2091737
United Kingdom521245,3653,71214/Mar/205915
Italy381437,7002,75027/Feb/207919
Spain469.135,2983,881 7/Mar/206712
France491335,2682,625 8/Mar/2081016
Peru642.634,19713,14620/Mar/20111631
New York, United States503.133,43310,74114/Mar/203610
Iran345.233,2996,46523/Feb/2071337
Colombia703.930,5657,80325/Mar/20123059
Argentina715.029,7305,95124/Mar/20145076
Russia802226,4091,225 1/Apr/201527146
South Africa793.119,0536,09631/Mar/20153546
Texas, United States613.818,0614,79118/Mar/20101790
California, United States585.517,4603,15616/Mar/2091673
Florida, United States614.516,5053,65918/Mar/20101594
New Jersey, United States561.416,30611,47415/Mar/20897
Chile672.014,0267,00225/Mar/2092541
Indonesia661613,51286118/Mar/201558
Ecuador551.212,58810,08114/Mar/2081229
Belgium532.210,8995,03311/Mar/209613
Iraq531.310,7248,208 4/Mar/20166036
Germany581810,12156717/Mar/20812
Canada626.210,0511,61618/Mar/20111340
Turkey597.19,9501,41121/Mar/20512159
Massachusetts, United States591.29,8888,37022/Mar/204715
Illinois, United States591.99,8385,17619/Mar/207823
Pennsylvania, United States612.38,6833,76822/Mar/2061022
Bolivia670.88,67210,66429/Mar/2053149
Georgia, United States551.57,8445,27718/Mar/2041141
Michigan, United States561.77,5854,46818/Mar/205714
Netherlands503.37,1422,13310/Mar/207823
Philippines615.67,0531,27014/Mar/201432155
Ukraine746.96,77098328/Mar/201350
Pakistan779.46,75971626/Mar/201836
Romania613.66,5741,84723/Mar/20518137
Egypt665.26,2221,18818/Mar/201538104
Quebec, Canada601.66,1723,91121/Mar/2061219
Sweden512.15,9182,84113/Mar/2051022
Arizona, United States651.35,8914,49622/Mar/20101564
Louisiana, United States520.75,8728,42114/Mar/205715
Bangladesh838.75,838673 5/Apr/201449
Saudi Arabia651.15,3294,69925/Mar/2072157
Ohio, United States612.05,2392,63620/Mar/2081247
Poland676.74,61568622/Mar/201230
Connecticut, United States550.64,5957,58118/Mar/204914
North Carolina, United States661.74,2112,50926/Mar/2071595
Indiana, United States571.14,1943,89417/Mar/2071128
Maryland, United States630.94,1084,53019/Mar/2011722
South Carolina, United States600.93,8424,14616/Mar/20111887
Guatemala870.93,6654,30816/Mar/20383635
Virginia, United States621.43,5952,63216/Mar/20131944
Morocco622.53,4451,37120/Mar/20910688
Mississippi, United States590.53,2836,89419/Mar/2071138
Tennessee, United States641.13,2072,93322/Mar/20914112
Ontario, Canada632.43,1531,31421/Mar/2091254
Alabama, United States620.82,8923,47025/Mar/2041373
Missouri, United States611.02,8552,73620/Mar/2081284
Panama560.32,6507,86211/Mar/20121159
Honduras630.42,6396,14326/Mar/2041969
Czechia632.12,5471,22824/Mar/20623185
Israel601.12,4832,26024/Mar/20317152
Minnesota, United States660.92,4212,68321/Mar/20121540
Portugal562.32,3711,05119/Mar/20411203
Washington, United States391.22,3371,918 2/Mar/2041983
Colorado, United States580.82,2362,77312/Mar/2013829
Dominican Republic580.72,2263,03417/Mar/2081186
Switzerland501.62,1471,343 8/Mar/209931
Algeria612.71,93170614/Mar/201414
Ireland570.71,8902,77011/Mar/2013720
Arkansas, United States650.51,8573,62024/Mar/20827101
Wisconsin, United States591.01,8521,87119/Mar/20714124
Kazakhstan781.41,8251,32831/Mar/20147254
Nevada, United States580.51,7523,55516/Mar/2091378
Japan87351,7265021/Mar/2033
Moldova640.31,7105,55918/Mar/20131252
Iowa, United States630.51,6803,13225/Mar/2051746
Hungary651.91,53582120/Mar/201218
Afghanistan700.81,5231,86622/Mar/20152761
Ethiopia1363.81,445384 5/May/203757
Kentucky, United States610.71,4281,99816/Mar/201216106
Paraguay700.51,3472,97021/Mar/201611441
Costa Rica830.51,3292,75119/Mar/20319051
Oklahoma, United States590.61,2732,01119/Mar/20712128
Armenia650.31,2223,67226/Mar/2063249
Oman680.11,20312,01731/Mar/2042645
Rhode Island, United States610.21,1886,59721/Mar/207721
Bulgaria681.51,16178914/Mar/202162
Kyrgyzstan700.31,1364,006 3/Apr/2037132
Nigeria945.51,135206 7/Apr/202357
Bosnia and Herzegovina620.61,1251,94521/Mar/20828123
Austria561.71,00559416/Mar/20712
Kansas, United States620.59832,10913/Mar/201614144
Tunisia641.09831,00819/Mar/201216346
New Mexico, United States640.49802,59725/Mar/2061748
Belarus731.4965687 1/Apr/20833
North Macedonia580.39493,34222/Mar/2031481
Kenya821.1934839 2/Apr/201661
Australia703.690725017/Mar/2020129
Nepal1381.787651717/May/202774
Sudan871.583757330/Mar/202431
Victoria, Australia700.981994926/Mar/2011113
Puerto Rico, United States640.78081,20521/Mar/201023162
Serbia621.379863028/Mar/20123
Venezuela1382.378033330/Mar/207559
Kuwait770.17566,706 4/Apr/209926
Denmark541.270961515/Mar/20612
Azerbaijan690.66881,10313/Mar/202356140
Delaware, United States610.26863,70826/Mar/2021424
Jordan630.46681,63327/Mar/20318024
Oregon, United States570.866487515/Mar/20928
District of Columbia, United States550.086447,604818
Nebraska, United States650.36202,00328/Mar/2042292
Greece592.359325514/Mar/2012146
Lebanon580.55901,22910/Mar/201512380
Idaho, United States590.35852,04619127
Utah, United States640.45781,63922/Mar/20924111
Uzbekistan1251.455638528/Mar/206462
Albania560.44871,23811/Mar/201288107
United Arab Emirates530.14824,5471725
North Dakota, United States640.14764,16427/Mar/20421112
New Hampshire, United States790.24751,94130/Mar/20161531
Croatia680.847056219/Mar/201632
Korea, South487.54616224/Feb/2020
West Virginia, United States700.44341,21130/Mar/20722158
Cameroon660.742664125/Mar/20834
South Dakota, United States650.13752,64911/Mar/20213098
Finland631.235429525/Mar/20522
Zambia1000.33481,010 2/Apr/20346297
Senegal860.5322644 1/Apr/202148
Ghana880.931634021/Mar/203460
Bahrain490.043168,439981
Alberta, Canada640.530956320/Mar/201120
Congo (Kinshasa)610.430585721/Mar/20740
Montana, United States630.23051,50228/Mar/20288105